The Unwinding

The Unwinding

The current state of the global economy is a complex and intriguing topic. Here are a few key points to consider:

  • The US dollar has been the world reserve currency since the end of World War II

  • The US has been running a persistent trade deficit, importing goods and services from other countries in exchange for dollars

  • Countries like China have been running large trade surpluses, but have been investing their profits in US assets rather than their own economy

  • The global monetary system is facing a crisis, with many experts predicting a significant shift in the way money is valued and traded

Rational Active Allocation - Update (Apr 2025)

Rational Active Allocation - Update (Apr 2025)

In summary:

• Bitcoin's market is volatile, with typical price swings around 5% influenced by sentiment and economic factors.

• Weekend trading is thinner, affecting price movements due to lower liquidity among investors.

• Blackrock's Bitcoin purchases help stabilize the market, attracting more stable ETF buyers.

• Regulatory improvements and potential ETF approvals may legitimize Bitcoin, reducing risks for institutional investors.

• Current market conditions suggest it may be a good time to invest in Bitcoin amid ongoing fluctuations.

Auditing Reserves

Auditing Reserves

I am writing to connect with you and discuss a thought-provoking comparison that has recently caught my attention.

The comparison revolves around the gold reserves held in Fort Knox (or any nation state for that matter), with growing concerns over the apparent absence of recent audits, as opposed to the unique transparency offered by Bitcoin.

Rational Active Allocation - Update (Oct 2024)

Rational Active Allocation - Update (Oct 2024)

I hope this message finds you well and you are all enjoying Bitcoin’s current rally. As of now, Bitcoin is valued at ~$67500. Over the past week, it has seen a significant increase in value, which may be of interest to those who hold it and other crypto assets.

If you are wondering why the other crypto assets are also not on the rise too, its worth highlighting the Bitcoin dominance indicator.