Federal Reserve Policy Shift: Implications for Asset Markets

Federal Reserve Policy Shift: Implications for Asset Markets

TL;DR: The Federal Reserve’s cessation of Quantitative Tightening signals a potential shift towards liquidity expansion, historically associated with improved asset performance (stocks, gold, and particularly Bitcoin). Investors should prepare for potential volatility, prioritize the allocation to scarce assets, and remain vigilant regarding domestic political developments which could introduce unforeseen systemic risks.

Money or Currency: Why it Matters

Money or Currency: Why it Matters

For most of us, the terms "money" and "currency" are interchangeable. And in day-to-day life, that's perfectly fine. But understanding the difference between the two is becoming increasingly important, especially as Bitcoin gains traction. This isn’t just semantics; it has huge implications for how we think about finance, policy, and the future of money.

The Unwinding

The Unwinding

The current state of the global economy is a complex and intriguing topic. Here are a few key points to consider:

  • The US dollar has been the world reserve currency since the end of World War II

  • The US has been running a persistent trade deficit, importing goods and services from other countries in exchange for dollars

  • Countries like China have been running large trade surpluses, but have been investing their profits in US assets rather than their own economy

  • The global monetary system is facing a crisis, with many experts predicting a significant shift in the way money is valued and traded

Rational Active Allocation - Update (Apr 2025)

Rational Active Allocation - Update (Apr 2025)

In summary:

• Bitcoin's market is volatile, with typical price swings around 5% influenced by sentiment and economic factors.

• Weekend trading is thinner, affecting price movements due to lower liquidity among investors.

• Blackrock's Bitcoin purchases help stabilize the market, attracting more stable ETF buyers.

• Regulatory improvements and potential ETF approvals may legitimize Bitcoin, reducing risks for institutional investors.

• Current market conditions suggest it may be a good time to invest in Bitcoin amid ongoing fluctuations.