After the “Trump inauguration euphoria” the market has entered into range bound mode.
We are still targeting higher for $BTC and assessing the best opportunity to enter.
Rational Active Allocation - Update (Jan 2025)
Rational Active Allocation - Update (Oct 2024)
I hope this message finds you well and you are all enjoying Bitcoin’s current rally. As of now, Bitcoin is valued at ~$67500. Over the past week, it has seen a significant increase in value, which may be of interest to those who hold it and other crypto assets.
If you are wondering why the other crypto assets are also not on the rise too, its worth highlighting the Bitcoin dominance indicator.
Rational Active Allocation - Update (Sep 2024)
Earlier in September we highlighted the importance of liquidity and the impacts it has on the Bitcoin price. If you missed it, you can catch up on the charts and blog Liquidity is everything!
The Federal Reserve has started cutting rates again to help lower borrowing costs. This could impact the stock market - the S&P 500 tends to go down by about 4% in the first six months after the first rate cut if we're in a recession, but can go up by about 14% (on average) if we're not.
Rational Active Allocation - Update (July 2024)
Rational Active Allocation - Update (May 2024)
Rational Active Allocation - Update (Apr 2024)
During moments of uncertainty in markets, it is natural to feel stressed about your investments. However, it is important to take a step back and reflect on the long-term fundamentals of your particular investment thesis. From an economic perspective, it is crucial to understand the supply and demand dynamics that drive market movements.
Focusing on these fundamentals, you can better navigate through volatile market conditions and make informed investment decisions and remember, staying informed and focused on long-term goals can help you weather the storms of market uncertainty.
With all this said, let us have a look at current Bitcoin supply and demand and the impact the halving has had in the past and will have in the future.
Rational Active Allocation - Update (Mar 2024)
The last few weeks have ushered in some volatility in the Bitcoin market. Markets unfortunately don’t go up in predictable straight lines. Bitcoin is no exception, and although the long term trajectory looks very promising, the retraces are often violent.
After the July 2016 halving, from the beginning of 2017, the bull market had six retraces of more than 30% and a seventh of 24% near the eventual cycle top.
From the chart below, think about where we may be today?
